Filming location for spaghetti westerns in Almería, Spain

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© 1987-2016
Scott Larson





Building façade in Cannes, France

2002 Academy Award Predictions…

A guy named David has been emailing me off and on since practically the first day I started doing this web page. A month ago, he told me I should see The Pianist, as I might want to change my Oscar predictions. I should have listened to him. But then, my predictions of the “most likely to win” are more based on my perception of the politics of the academy voting than of the quality of the competitors. For some reason, in these politically correct times, I didn’t think that Hollywood would want to appear to giving approval to fugitive sex criminal Roman Polanski. Silly me. I forgot that this is the same town that fell more in love with Bill Clinton with every new revelation of his non-too-private sex life. What’s more, even though Chicago was technically the big winner, the times really called for a serious look at the horrors of war to be recognized. At least I’ve maintained my record of getting about half the winners in either my “will” or “should” columns.

Category

Most Likely to Win

Most Deserving to Win

Actual Winners I Missed Completely

Best Picture

Chicago

The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

Best Actor

Jack Nicholson (About Schmidt)

Michael Caine (The Quiet American)

Adrien Brody (The Pianist)

Best Actress

Renée Zellweger (Chicago)

Nicole Kidman (The Hours)

Best Supporting Actor

Paul Newman (Road to Perdition)

Chris Cooper (Adaptation)

Best Supporting Actress

Julianne Moore (The Hours)

Kathy Bates (About Schmidt)

Catherine Zeta-Jones (Chicago)

Best Director

Martin Scorsese (Gangs of New York)

Stephen Daldry (The Hours)

Roman Polanski (The Pianist)

Best Original Screenplay

Jay Cocks, Steven Zaillian & Kenneth Lonergan (Gangs of New York)

Alfonso Cuarón & Carlos Cuarón (Y tu mamá también)

Pedro Almodóvar (Talk to Her)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Charlie Kaufman & Donald Kaufman (Adaptation)

Bill Condon (Chicago)

Ronald Harwood (The Pianist)

Best Animated Feature

Lilo & Stitch

Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi

Best Foreign Language Film

Nirgendwo in Afrika (Germany)

Mies vailla menneisyyttä (Finland)

Total Scores

2 unexpectedly accurate predictions

3 unanticipated instances of justice in the universe

5 doses of reality

Color Key to Actual Results:
You really, really like me…
We’re all really winners…