Filming location for spaghetti westerns in Almería, Spain

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© 1987-2016
Scott Larson





Building façade in Cannes, France

2000 Academy Award Predictions…

Okay, so I pick Oscar winners with about the same prescience that I pick stocks. (Send money! Quick!) But hey, five out of nine ain’t bad. Anyway, I’m remarkably consistent since I had more or less the same score last year. The real question is: does the plurality of awards won by Gladiator mean that industry insiders really think that this was the best movie made last year? Or did they simply vote for it out of nostalgia, reading it (as I did) as a sort of roman à cle about the Clinton administration?

Category

Most Likely to Win

Most Deserving to Win

Actual Winners I Missed Completely

Best Picture

Gladiator

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon

Best Actor

Russell Crowe (Gladiator)

Ed Harris (Pollock)

Best Actress

Julia Roberts (Erin Brockovich)

Laura Linney (You Can Count on Me)

Best Supporting Actor

Joaquin Phoenix (Gladiator)

Willem Dafoe (Shadow of the Vampire)

Benicio Del Toro (Traffic)

Best Supporting Actress

Kate Hudson (Almost Famous)

Julie Walters (Billy Elliot)

Marcia Gay Harden (Pollock)

Best Director

Ridley Scott (Gladiator)

Ang Lee (Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon)

Steven Soderbergh (Traffic)

Original Screenplay

David Franzoni and John Logan and William Nicholson (Gladiator)

Lee Hall (Billy Elliot)

Cameron Crowe (Almost Famous)

Adapted Screenplay

Stephen Gaghan (Traffic)

Steve Kloves (Wonder Boys)

Foreign Film

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (Taiwan)

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (Taiwan)

Total Scores

5 predictably accurate predictions

1 actual instance of justice in the universe

4 completely off the mark

Color Key to Actual Results:
The Oscar goes to…
The Oscar doesn’t go to…